Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.244784 1.467654 1.699976 1.958749 2.237531 2.527558 2.850845
2025-01-26 0.969064 1.289431 1.643399 2.057135 2.521710 3.022246 3.597530
2025-02-02 0.845907 1.223060 1.656018 2.177211 2.776558 3.434787 4.203557
2025-02-09 0.758976 1.183478 1.687459 2.309231 3.038007 3.850353 4.810689
2025-02-16 0.667858 1.123059 1.681370 2.385961 3.225965 4.174431 5.307290
2025-02-23 0.569465 1.040306 1.638102 2.410036 3.345768 4.415403 5.705377
2025-03-02 0.446139 0.908143 1.520717 2.333621 3.338016 4.502040 5.920779
2025-03-09 0.338303 0.781880 1.399234 2.242321 3.304295 4.551793 6.087842
2025-03-16 0.263814 0.693121 1.319010 2.196105 3.319531 4.654365 6.311894
2025-03-23 0.224737 0.654612 1.304057 2.231424 3.433332 4.872736 6.670446
2025-03-30 0.182929 0.604272 1.267777 2.235166 3.505008 5.038565 6.965473
2025-04-06 0.139744 0.542516 1.209419 2.205212 3.530945 5.146682 7.190093
2025-04-13 0.126637 0.540159 1.244141 2.308603 3.736111 5.483965 7.701700
2025-04-20 0.116378 0.542398 1.286153 2.423247 3.957793 5.844183 8.244369
2025-04-27 0.110114 0.551874 1.338668 2.551873 4.197016 6.225447 8.811777
2025-05-04 0.107164 0.568367 1.402333 2.696461 4.457553 6.633729 9.412686
2025-05-11 0.094513 0.559065 1.423158 2.779588 4.637225 6.941733 9.892573
2025-05-18 0.075131 0.527599 1.405260 2.805834 4.741068 7.154942 10.257406
2025-05-25 0.046048 0.456252 1.314522 2.722766 4.697260 7.181886 10.394475
2025-06-01 0.023459 0.385317 1.216443 2.623432 4.627646 7.173339 10.485607
2025-06-08 0.011408 0.337510 1.154008 2.573083 4.620676 7.240902 10.667043
2025-06-15 0.007079 0.321730 1.150423 2.611562 4.734361 7.461492 11.036637
2025-06-22 0.002989 0.296307 1.125524 2.615637 4.799832 7.619959 11.329188